Growing within limits. A report to the Global Assembly 2009 of the Club of Rome

摘要: Current trends in fossil-fuel use and inefficient land will lead to large global environmental problems with respect climate change biodiversity loss. Technical economically feasible options are available meet the challenge avoid these problems. The main issue is that of creating institutional policy conditions for a more sustainable economy. This report looks into possible developments energy system on one hand, other hand. Obviously, also important exist, but outside scope this report. presents two scenarios: baseline, business-as-usual scenario (Trend scenario) explores risks loss, while Challenge pathway required actions bring about environmentally future (Chapter 2). chapter briefly assesses whether threat overshoot collapse, as identified Limits Growth, still valid which 'safe' constraints could be defined characterise development.Chapter 3 focuses further change, exploring requirements low-carbon society, by 2050, compared Trend scenario. What would mix such look like? crucial technological choices there made? Which combinations non-technological solutions possible? Chapter 4 issues Could agricultural productivity increased an extent it less food production bio-energy? can contribution dietary changes? takes explicitly perspective, occasionally lower levels included do justice multi-level complexity at stake. concluding 5 range strategies measures global, regional national levels, including their prerequisites. Moreover, behaviour consumption addressed taking up challenges. It should noted that, presenting measures, does not provide recipe development, rather offers scientifically rooted address These indicate challenges offer ways deflecting from damaging pathways towards development. While using 1972 limits growth publication starting point, findings ar always equal those Meadows et al. (1972)