Statistical Projection of Solar Cycle 24 for the Exposure Estimates

作者: Francis A. Cucinotta , John W. Wilson , Myung-Hee Y. Kim

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摘要: A solar cycle statistical model has been developed based on the accumulating sunspot data to estimate future levels of activity. Since current 24 progressed about three years, activity are estimated with an accurately defined minimum 24. Then, is projected using model. The projection then coupled space related quantities interest radiation protection, because interplanetary plasma and fields modulated by degree disturbance in surface doses received astronauts likewise influenced. resultant provides a basis for estimating exposure missions, errors can be corrected as progresses observations become available this shown self-correcting.

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