A global perspective on African climate

作者: Alessandra Giannini , Michela Biasutti , Isaac M. Held , Adam H. Sobel

DOI: 10.1007/S10584-008-9396-Y

关键词:

摘要: We describe the global climate system context in which to interpret African environmental change support planning and implementation of policymaking action at national, regional continental scales, inform debate between proponents mitigation v. adaptation strategies face change. review recent advances current challenges research exploit our physical understanding variability trends shape outlook on future classify various mechanisms that have been pro- posed as relevant for variations rainfall, emphasizing a "tropospheric stabilization" mechanism is importance interannual time scales well response warming oceans. Two patterns stand out analysis twentieth century rainfall variability: drying mon- soon regions, related tropical oceans, El Nino-Southern Oscillation. The latest generation models partly captures this continent-wide trend, attributing it combination anthropogenic emissions aerosols greenhouse gases, relative contribution

参考文章(133)
D. Bromwich, L. Mearns, R. Benestad, R. Arritt, R. Laprise, J. Comiso, Annette Rinke, B. Hewitson, D. Caya, R. de Elia, A. Chen, V. Magana Rueda, X. Gao, R. Held, M. Beniston, A. Busuioc, W. K. Kwon, A. Sarr, J. Räisänen, Klaus Dethloff, R. Jones, C. G. Menendez, R. K. Kolli, P. Whetton, J. H. Christensen, Regional climate projections EPIC3Climate Change, 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, University Press, Cambridge, Chapter 11, pp. 847-940, ISBN: 978-0-521-88009-1. ,(2007)
P. D. Tyson, S. J. Mason, The occurrence and predictability of droughts over southern Africa. Drought: a global assessment. pp. 113- 134 ,(2000)
Donald A. Wilhite, Drought : a global assessment Routledge. ,(2000)
N. Petit-Maire, Sahara : sous le sable--des lacs : un voyage dans le temps CNRS Éditions. ,(2002)
David Karoly, Myles R Allen, Gabi C Hegrel, Jose Marengo, John F B Mitchell, Francis W Zwiers, Detection of climate change and attribution of causes The Press Syndicate of the University of Cambridge. pp. 696- 738 ,(2001)
Nicolas Fauchereau, S Trzaska, M Rouault, Yves Richard, Rainfall Variability and Changes in Southern Africa during the 20th Century in the Global Warming Context Natural Hazards. ,vol. 29, pp. 139- 154 ,(2003) , 10.1023/A:1023630924100
A. Kitoh, P. Friedlingstein, S. C. B. Raper, J. M. Gregory, R. Knutti, J. M. Murphy, T. F. Stocker, A. J. Weaver, G.A. Meehl, Z. C. Zhao, W. D. Collins, A. Noda, I. G. Watterson, T. Gaye, Global climate projections Cambridge University Press. ,(2007)
Stefan Hastenrath, Climate dynamics of the tropics ,(1985)
Nicola Stuber, D. Oram, David W. Fahey, Gunnar Myhre, D. Etheridge, Karen Rosenlof, James Haywood, Ulrike Lohmann, Judith Lean, Michael Ponater, S.K. Solanki, Piers Forster, R. Weiss, Michael Schulz, Ronald Prinn, J.W. Elkins, Robert Sausen, Graciela Raga, Terje Berntsen, T. Takemura, A.C. Manning, P. Fraser, Venkatachalam Ramaswamy, E. Dlugokencky, W.D. Collins, Greg Bodeker, S. Montzka, David Rind, John Nganga, S. Piper, Christiane Textor, David C. Lowe, Garry Stenchikov, Marvyn Geller, G. Reid, K. O'Shaughnessy, Rob van Dorland, K. Lassey, D. Schwarzkopf, P. Foukal, T.J. Conway, T. Whorf, Oliver Boucher, R. Wang, Richard Betts, Paulo Artaxo, G.-K. Plattner, Stefan Kinne, N. Ramankutty, C.D. Keeling, F. Joos, Changes in Atmospheric Constituents and in Radiative Forcing Climate Change 2007 : The Physical Science Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. ,vol. 141, pp. 129- 234 ,(2007)
R.S. Vose,, R.L. Schmoyer,, P.M. Steurer,, T.C. Peterson,, R. Heim,, T.R. Karl,, J.K. Eischeid,, The Global Historical Climatology Network: Long-term monthly temperature, precipitation, sea level pressure, and station pressure data Other Information: Environmental Sciences Division Publication No. 3912. ,(1992) , 10.3334/CDIAC/CLI.NDP041