The ‘neighbor effect’: Simulating dynamics in consumer preferences for new vehicle technologies

摘要: Abstract Understanding consumer behaviour is essential in designing policies that efficiently increase the uptake of clean technologies over long-run. Expert opinion or qualitative market analyses have tended to be sources this information. However, greater scrutiny on governments increasingly demands use reliable and credible evidence support policy decisions. While discrete choice research modeling techniques been applied estimate preferences for technologies, these methods often assume static preferences. This study builds application capture dynamics We Canadians' new vehicle under different assumptions, using responses from two national surveys focused hybrid gas-electric vehicles hydrogen fuel cell vehicles. The results relevance a range attributes beyond purchase price shaping towards technologies. They also corroborate our hypothesis degree penetration an influence people's (‘the neighbor effect’). Finally, provide behavioural parameters energy-economy model CIMS, which we here show importance including preference when setting encourage