Handbook of Crime Prevention and Community Safety

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DOI: 10.4324/9781315724393

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摘要: With all due apologies to the aggregate age/crime curve, there is little denying that great variability between offenders and within over time with respect offending life course. Many persons offend, but only do so once. Others offend two or three times, then stop. And a much smaller set of high frequency longer periods time. But like roller-coaster’s initial large incline top, participation also exhibit declines course until some finite (but difficult identify without fail) endpoint. This decline in offending, what commonly referred not always conceptually agreed upon) as desistance from crime. The topic necessarily new one it can be traced back seminal works 19th century by both Quetelet (1831/1984) Beccaria (1764/1992). However, did begin take hold, at least empirically, Philadelphia Birth Cohort Study Wolfgang et al. (1972/1987), who were first study transition probabilities recidivism sample boys followed late adolescence. Research on desistance, however, began flourish after U.S. National Council’s report criminal careers (Blumstein al., 1986), which Panel outlined paradigm parceled out an individual’s career into distinct dimensions, emerging critical feature. Not surprisingly, theoretical work was devoted studying policy-relevant discussion ensued earnest, again surprisingly because justice system general, correctional apparatus particular, has keen interest curtailing persistent offending. Unfortunately, requires longitudinal data spanning decades life, ideally would follow individuals antisocial behavior continues (to zig zag) well middle late-middle adulthood. It last quarter such sets “aged,” fine wine bourbon, permitted analyses US abroad. In this chapter, we provide overview conceptual issues surrounding review empirical regarding it. As well, pay particular attention role prevention, intervention, rehabilitation, punishment programs policies, highlight few directions for research. doing so, look whether possible “force plant,” Gluecks (1937/1966, p. 205) wondered nearly 80 years ago, “so benign maturation [desistance] will occur earlier than seems present.”

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