Policy regime change and the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle: the UK evidence

作者: Erdal Özmen , Kağan Parmaksız

DOI: 10.1016/S0161-8938(02)00208-9

关键词:

摘要: Abstract This study investigates whether the Feldstein and Horioka [Econ. J. 90 (1980) 314.] argument on domestic saving–investment relationship may remain as a “puzzle” when an endogenous structural break corresponding to major policy regime change is taken into account. To this end, we employ not only conventional procedures developed for data generation process without break, but also some recent methods which allow stationarity around under alternative hypothesis. The evidence based UK annual from 1948 1998 suggests that long-run between saving investment disappears after estimated point coinciding with abolition of foreign exchange controls in 1979.

参考文章(26)
James G. MacKinnon, Critical values for cointegration tests Research Papers in Economics. ,(2010)
Jeffrey A. Frankel, Measuring International Capital Mobility: A Review The American Economic Review. ,vol. 82, pp. 197- 202 ,(2016)
Denis Kwiatkowski, Peter C.B. Phillips, Peter Schmidt, Yongcheol Shin, Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root: How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root? Journal of Econometrics. ,vol. 54, pp. 159- 178 ,(1992) , 10.1016/0304-4076(92)90104-Y
Panayotis Alexakis, Nicholas Apergis, The Feldstein-Horioka puzzle and exchange rate regimes: Evidence from cointegration tests Journal of Policy Modeling. ,vol. 16, pp. 459- 472 ,(1994) , 10.1016/0161-8938(94)90023-X
Allan W. Gregory, Bruce E. Hansen, Residual-based tests for cointegration in models with regime shifts Journal of Econometrics. ,vol. 70, pp. 99- 126 ,(1996) , 10.1016/0304-4076(69)41685-7
Martin Coiteux, Simon Olivier, The saving retention coefficient in the long run and in the short run: evidence from panel data Journal of International Money and Finance. ,vol. 19, pp. 535- 548 ,(2000) , 10.1016/S0261-5606(00)00014-0
Junsoo Lee, Cliff J. Huang, Yongcheol Shin, On stationary tests in the presence of structural breaks Economics Letters. ,vol. 55, pp. 165- 172 ,(1997) , 10.1016/S0165-1765(97)00073-6
Michael Dooley, Jeffrey Frankel, Donald J. Mathieson, International Capital Mobility: What Do Saving-Investment Correlations Tell Us? IMF Staff Papers. ,vol. 34, pp. 503- 530 ,(1987) , 10.2307/3867094