100% Clean and Renewable Wind, Water, and Sunlight All-Sector Energy Roadmaps for 139 Countries of the World

作者: Mark Z. Jacobson , Mark A. Delucchi , Zack A.F. Bauer , Savannah C. Goodman , William E. Chapman

DOI: 10.1016/J.JOULE.2017.07.005

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摘要: Summary We develop roadmaps to transform the all-purpose energy infrastructures (electricity, transportation, heating/cooling, industry, agriculture/forestry/fishing) of 139 countries ones powered by wind, water, and sunlight (WWS). The envision 80% conversion 2030 100% 2050. WWS not only replaces business-as-usual (BAU) power, but also reduces it ∼42.5% because work: ratio electricity exceeds that combustion (23.0%), requires no mining, transporting, or processing fuels (12.6%), end-use efficiency is assumed exceed BAU (6.9%). Converting may create ∼24.3 million more permanent, full-time jobs than lost. It may avoid ∼4.6 million/year premature air-pollution deaths today ∼3.5 million/year in 2050; ∼$22.8 trillion/year (12.7 ¢/kWh-BAU-all-energy) 2050 costs; ∼$28.5 (15.8 climate costs. Transitioning should stabilize prices fuel costs are zero, reduce power disruption increase access decentralizing 1.5°C global warming.

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