A Way Forward for Land-Use Planning to Achieve Policy Goals by Using Spatial Modelling Scenarios

摘要: This paper investigates how demographic (socioeconomic) and land-use (physical environmental) data can be integrated within a decision support framework to formulate evaluate planning scenarios. A case-study approach is undertaken with scenarios for rapidly growing coastal area in Australia, the Shire of Hervey Bay. The town surrounding require careful future urban growth between competing land uses. Three potential are put forth address this issue. Scenario ('continued growth') based on existing socioeconomic trends. B ('maximising rates base') derived using optimisation modelling land-valuation data. C ('sustainable development') number social, economic, environmental factors assigning weightings importance each factor multiple criteria analysis approach. presented through use maps tables geographical information system, which delineate possible allocations up until 2021. evaluated by goal-achievement matrix constructed from key policy objectives outlined regional management schemes. authors examine final efficiency scores calculated three discuss advantages disadvantages approaches used