Modeling Rare Species Distribution at the Edge: The Case for the Vulnerable Endemic Pyrenean Desman in France

摘要: The endemic Pyrenean Desman (Galemys pyrenaicus) is an elusive, rare, and vulnerable species declining over its entire narrow range (Spain, Portugal, France, Andorra). principal set of conservation measures in France a 5-years National Action Plan based on 25 actions. Priority given to update present distribution develop tools for predictive models. We aim at building the first model map northern edge confronting outputs target efforts context environmental change. Contrasting former comparable studies, we derive simpler emphasizing importance factors linked precipitation not temperature. If temperature one climate change key factors, depicted shrinkage could be lower or null (French) suggesting thus major role this population terms species. Finally, question applied issue temporal spatial transferability such favourability models when it made range.