摘要: Global greenhouse gas (GHG) emission targets can only be met by significantly decarbonising road transport. The long term way to do this is via the electrification of powertrains combined with production low carbon electricity or hydrogen. Current assumptions and models, such as IEA BLUE Map, demonstrate that technically possible, but assume growth in demand for transport services will double 2035 triple 2050, largely driven developing economies. However, another revolution, automated vehicles, could drive further, which without have a large negative impact on efforts curb related emissions. In contrast, it shown paper vehicles improve economics electric therefore make more likely, help reduce Despite uncertainty, little work has been done understanding how these factors affect each other, particularly timing uptake their effect future GHG emissions economics, yet policy, infrastructure society profound should interest policy makers, automotive energy industries, whole.