The Lingering Effect of Scandals in Congressional Elections: Incumbents, Challengers, and Voters

摘要: Objective We have two goals. First, we investigate both the short- and long-term electoral impact of involvement in scandals on reelection margins incumbents U.S. congressional elections. Second, evaluate district-level turnout. Methods We model a political scandal incumbents’ election cycle which comes to light, as well future cycles. We also turnout. Results Involvement exerts not only an immediate, negative effect margins, but one that lingers beyond initial cycle. Elections involving embroiled experience small boost turnout. Conclusion In tandem, these results implicate mobilization previous nonvoters intent “throwing bum out” mechanism through incumbent vote share is depressed