A global analysis of residential heating and cooling service demand and cost-effective energy consumption under different climate change scenarios up to 2050

摘要: Climate change and energy service demand exert influence on each other through temperature greenhouse gas emissions. We have consistently evaluated global residential thermal consumption up to the year 2050 under different climate scenarios. first constructed intensity (energy per household) functions for of three services (space heating, space cooling, water heating). The heating cooling in world as a whole become 2.1–2.3 3.8–4.5 times higher than figures 2010, whose ranges are originated from warming Cost-effective satisfy until was analyzed keeping consistency among socio-economic conditions, ambient temperature, carbon dioxide (CO2) emission pathways using assessment model. Building shell improvement fuel fuel-type transition reduce final by 30% 2 °C target scenario. This study demonstrates that affects regions, their desirable strategies cost-effective depend perspectives CO2 reduction. efficiency end-use technologies considered be robust measures uncertain future pathways.