Further applications of the stochastic stress release model to historical earthquake data

摘要: Abstract The stochastic stress release model provides a version of the elastic rebound which may be used to fit, simulate and forecast occurrence large earthquakes within seismic region. This paper reviews its applications historical from China, Iran Japan, thereby extending supporting earlier work on Chinese data. generally an improvement in fit over Poisson models with either constant rate or linear trend. A crucial factor is identification suitable subregions can act as largely independent units. In northern divisions into two four such units are considered based recognized geophysical subdivisions. Iran, best results obtained subdivision three situation Japan seems more complex: preliminary gives significant one out cases. all regions treating separately marked improvements whole region single unit. However, quality differs sharply case case, pointing substantial differences regimes reflected