THE RELIABILITY OF COMPUTER PREDICTIONS: CAN THEY BE TRUSTED?

摘要: The issue of reliability computer predictions physical events is examined as the goal veriflcation and validation processes. It argued that veriflcation, both solution code can be carried out with a high degree confldence, even though much remains to done improve advance procedures. mathematical models stands major bottleneck reliable predictions. Uncertainty input data represents feature processes must quantifled if are judged valid or invalid. Examples given from solid mechanics heat transfer demonstrate employing stochastic fuzzy set theories.