The warming papers : the scientific foundation for the climate change forecast

摘要: Preface. Part I Climate Physics. 1 The Greenhouse Effect. On the Temperatures of Terrestrial Sphere and Interplanetary Space (Jean-Baptiste Joseph Fourier (1824)). 2 Wagging Dog. Absorption Radiation Heat by Gases Vapours, on Physical Connexion Radiation, Absorption, Conduction (John Tyndall (1861)). 3 By Light Silvery Moon. Influence Carbonic Acid in Air upon Temperature Ground (Svante Arrhenius (1896)). 4 Radiative Transfer. 15 m Carbon-dioxide Band Atmospheric Infra-red Cooling Rate (G. N. Plass (1956)). 5 Balance Energy. Thermal Equilibrium Atmosphere with a Given Distribution Relative Humidity (Syukuro Manabe Richard T. Wetherald (1967)). Effect Solar Variations Earth (M. I. Budyko (1968)). A Global Climatic Model Based Energy Earth-Atmosphere System (William D. Sellers 6 Birth General Circulation Model. Effects Doubling CO2Concentration (1975)). Sensitivity: Analysis Feedback Mechanisms (J. Hansen, A. Lacis, Rind, G. Russell, P. Stone, Fung, R. Ruedy, J. Lerner (1984)). 7 Aerosols. Response to Increasing Levels Sulphate Aerosols F. B. Mitchell, C. Johns, M. Gregory S. Tett (1995)). 8 Ocean Uptake Committed Warming. Earth's Imbalance: Confirmation Implications (James Larissa Nazarenko, Reto Makiko Sato, Josh Willis, Anthony Del Genio, Dorothy Koch, Andrew Ken Lo, Surabi Menon, Tica Novakov, Judith Perlwitz, Gary Gavin Schmidt Nicholas Tausnev (2005)). 9 Taking Temperature. Between 1861 1984 (P. Jones, L. Wigley Wright (1986)). Contribution Stratospheric Satellite-Inferred Troposphoric Trends (Qiang Fu, Celeste Johanson, Stephen Warren Dian Seidel (2004)). Northern Hemisphere During Past Millennium: Inferences, Uncertainties, Limitations (Michael E. Mann, Raymond Bradley Malcolm K. Hughes (1999)). 10 Ice Sheets Sea Level. Surface Melt-Induced Acceleration Greenland Ice-Sheet Flow (H. Jay Zwally, Waleed Abdalati, Tom Herring, Kristine Larson, Jack Saba Konrad Steffen (2002)). 11 Public Statement. Man-Made Carbon Dioxide "Greenhouse" Sawyer (1972)). Climate: Scientific Assessment (Jule Charney, Akio Arakawa, James Baker, Bert Bolin, Robert Dickinson, Goody, Cecil Leith, Henry Stommel Carl Wunsch (1979)). II Cycle. 12 Sky is Rising! Artificial Production its Callendar (1938)). 13 Denial Acceptance. Exchange Question an Increase CO2during Decades (Roger Revelle Hans Suess (1957)). Matter Atmosphere: Changes Content due Fossil Fuel Combustion (Bert Bolin Erik Eriksson (1958)). 14 Bookends. Concentration Isotopic Abundances (Charles Keeling (1960)). Is from Changing Man's Environment? (1970)). One If Land. Land Biota Their Importance for Cycle (1977)). Observational Constraints CO2 Budget (Pieter Tans, Inez Y. Fung Taro Takahashi (1990)). Warming Due Carbon-Cycle Feedbacks Coupled (Peter Cox, Betts, Chris Steven Spall Ian Totterdell (2000)). 16 Two Sea. Neutralization Marine Calcium Carbonate (W. Broecker Forest Conservation Future Walker Kasting (1992)). Abrupt Deep-Sea Warming, Palaeoceanographic Benthic Extinctions at End Palaeocene Kennett Stott (1991)). 17 pH. Anthropogenic pH (Ken Caldeira Michael Wickett (2003)). Reduced Calcification Plankton Increased (Ulf Riebesell, Ingrid Zondervan, Bjorn Rost, Philippe Tortell, Zeebe Francois Morel 18 Tiny Bubbles. Evidence From Polar Cores Centuries (A. Neftel, Moor, H. Oeschger Stauffer (1985)). Vostok Core Provides 160,000-Year Record CO2(J. Barnola, Raynaud, Korotkevich Lorius (1987)). Index.