Model-Based Projections and Uncertainties of Near-Surface Wind Climate in Western Canada
作者： Jeffrey T Daines , Adam H Monahan , Charles L Curry , None
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摘要: AbstractNear-surface wind is important in forestry, agriculture, air pollution, building energy use, and power generation. In western Canada it presently plays a minor role generation, but ongoing reductions the cost of infrastructure increasing costs conventional generation (including environmental costs) motivate assessment projected future climate uncertainties this projection. Multiple realizations Canadian Regional Climate Model (CRCM) at 45-km resolution were driven by two global models over periods 1971–2000 (using historical greenhouse gas concentrations) 2031–60 SRES-A2 concentration scenario). Hourly speeds from 30 stations analyzed used to calibrate downscaled ensembles speed distributions 2031–60. At most station locations modest increases mean found for majority projections, with an ensemble spread same...
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