Bayesian Statistics Applied to Dynamic Modification Experiments on Florida Cumulus Clouds

摘要: Abstract Randomized dynamic cumulus seeding programs were executed in 1968 and 1970 on isolated clouds beginning groups of clouds, to promote mergers a 4000 mi2 target area south Florida. With the single 26 seeded control cases comprise an adequate sample. In experiment, 1971 1972 produced only 7 random seed, 5 control, non-random cases. The experiments involve multi-pronged approach documentation effects, emphasizing numerical simulation, ground airborne measurements, application diverse statistical tools, including but not confined Bayesian analysis, main subject this report. Rain volumeswere calculated with calibrated 10-cm radars, checked corrected by gage networks. cloud rainfalls, both well fitted gamma distribution shape parameter invariant under seeding. Preliminary indications data suggest carryover multiple ...