Real and monetary convergence between the European Union's core and recent member countries: A rolling cointegration approach

作者: Josef C. Brada , Ali M. Kutan , Su Zhou

DOI: 10.1016/J.JBANKFIN.2004.06.024

关键词:

摘要: Abstract We use rolling cointegration to measure the convergence of base money, M2, CPI and industrial output between Germany France recent EU members some transition countries that are now joining EU. Countries joined previously exhibit time-varying with core over 1980–2000 sample period. Cointegration for economies was comparable M2 prices, but not monetary policy output. Thus a peg Euro soon after accession is feasible East European countries, benefits zone as yet limited.

参考文章(20)
Jarko Fidrmuc, Iikka Korhonen, Similarity of supply and demand shocks between the euro area and the accession countries Research Papers in Economics. ,(2001)
Robert A. Mundell, A Theory of Optimum Currency Areas ,(1961)
Noud P. A. van Giersbergen, BOOTSTRAPPING THE TRACE STATISTIC IN VAR MODELS: MONTE CARLO RESULTS AND APPLICATIONS Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. ,vol. 58, pp. 391- 408 ,(2009) , 10.1111/J.1468-0084.1996.MP58002010.X
Søren Johansen, Katarina Juselius, MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION AND INFERENCE ON COINTEGRATION — WITH APPLICATIONS TO THE DEMAND FOR MONEY Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. ,vol. 52, pp. 169- 210 ,(2009) , 10.1111/J.1468-0084.1990.MP52002003.X
Jesper Rangvid, Carsten Sørensen, Convergence in the ERM and Declining Numbers of Common Stochastic Trends Social Science Research Network. ,(2000) , 10.2139/SSRN.264661
Jürgen von Hagen, Michele Fratianni, German dominance in the EMS: evidence from interest rates Journal of International Money and Finance. ,vol. 9, pp. 358- 375 ,(1990) , 10.1016/0261-5606(90)90016-S
Gebhard Kirchgassner, Jurgen Wolters, Does the DM dominate the Euro market? An empirical investigation The Review of Economics and Statistics. ,vol. 75, pp. 773- 778 ,(1993) , 10.2307/2110039