A bükk és a kocsánytalan tölgy elterjedésének szárazsági határa
作者： Bálint Czúcz , Csaba Mátyás , László Gálhidy
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摘要: A klimavaltozas feltetelezett hatasanak elorevetitese celjabol finom lepteku elemzesnek vetettuk ala a bukk es kocsanytalan tolgy jelenlegi zonalis elterjedeset, illetve also/szarazsagi elterjedesi hatarat. Az elofordulasok modellezesenel mindket fafaj eseteben keso tavaszi nyari homerseklet-, csapadekadatok bizonyultak legfontosabb magyarazo valtozonak. erzekenyseget szarazsagra jol mutatja az Ellenberg-index kiemelt jelentosege vizsgalt valtozok kozott. Mas modellezesek eredmenyevel osszhangban kulonbozo klimaszcenariokra szamitott elterjedesbeli valtozasok igen drasztikusak. Mivel mar viszonylag csekely klimatikus valtozas is dramai mertekben csokkentheti mindket faj elterjedeset, felkeszules megfelelo erdogazdalkodasi modszerek alkalmazasa surgeto feladat, kulonosen szaraz hatartermohelyeken.
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