作者: Dongyu Zhang , Gengyuan Liu , Caocao Chen , Yan Zhang , Yan Hao
DOI: 10.1016/J.ENPOL.2018.12.030
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摘要: Abstract China's greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are projected to peak by 2030 and China makes great efforts reach the as soon possible. As ‘frontier’ of Chinese Reform Opening-up, Beijing has set a goal in 13th Five-Year Plan that local GHG will 2020. This research analyzes situations socio-economic development energy consumption establishes LEAP-Beijing model for medium-to-long-term prediction emissions. The demand module LEAP six branches, including civilian sector, agriculture, industry, construction transportation service sector. analysis evaluation their potentials cut difficulties implement can help determine priority take right measures develop low-carbon society. Four scenarios model, Business-As-Usual scenario (BAU), Low-Carbon (LC), Enhanced (ELC) Peak-Reaching (PR). These applied analyze total amount how peak-reaching time varies due impacts different policies.