Smoking and death: the past 40 years and the next 40

作者: R Peto

DOI: 10.1136/BMJ.309.6959.937

关键词:

摘要: Smoking already kills about two million people a year in developed countries, half middle age (35-69) and old age.1, 2 This number is still increasing as the death rate among women increases populations grow larger older (fig 1). Already smoking accounts for one sixth of 11 adult deaths each these populations. There are 1.2 billion living countries. If their continue to be caused by tobacco 200 adults children now countries will eventually killed tobacco, 100 die while age.2 FIG 1 Annual attributed current patterns continue, when today reach annual have increased from 3 million, but less increase far larger, 7 around 2025, leading world total 10 tobacco1, 2 In developing there has recently been large young men smoking. People China, example, smoke 30% world's cigarettes. catastrophic effects next century most other causes likely decrease increase. persist - that is, if uptake continues substantial stopping at ages low time largest …

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