Reproducible aspects of the climate of space weather over the last five solar cycles

作者: S. C. Chapman , N. W. Watkins , E. Tindale

DOI: 10.1029/2018SW001884

关键词:

摘要: Each solar maximum interval has a different duration and peak activity level which is reflected in the behaviour of key physical variables that characterize wind driving magnetospheric response. The variation statistical distributions F10.7 index coronal radio emissions, dynamic pressure PDyn effective convection electric field Ey observed situ upstream Earth, ring current DST, high latitude auroral AE, are tracked across last five maxima. For each variable we find distribution tail (the exceedences above threshold) can be rescaled onto single master using mean variance specific to interval. We provide Generalized Pareto Distribution fits for variables. If large‐to extreme observations predicted given then their full known.

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