Framework for Modeling Mass Disasters

摘要: This paper introduces a generic mass Disaster Modeling Framework (DMF) to support integrated sociophysical risk assessment and management of disasters. The DMF draws on the principles that disasters have many common features regardless their instigating hazards are outcome interaction between hazard society. modular architecture weakly couples three key applications: Community Simulation Model (CSM), Hazard (HSM), Evacuation (ESM). CSM utilizes census, cadastral, other data construct an individual-based representation potentially impacted community. estimates people built environment at any given time day, week, year. along with simulation HSM feed into ESM simulate progression fatalities throughout event. Dam failures, for which vivid detailed accounts human incoming flood exist, served as case studies.