Determinants of a regional port-centric logistics hub: The case of East Africa

摘要: Demand for port capacity in East Africa is rising rapidly, and possibilities expansion the existing ports are limited. Studies indicate that, by 2016, a new north of Dar es Salaam (Tanzania) should be operational, serving, as regional hub, needs total (captive non-captive) hinterland African ports. The objective this article to assess economic potential, terms logistics costs alternative hub-port locations. To that effect we first describe flow goods Nairobi – Durban range landlocked countries; available inland transport options; related quality service aspects. maritime investigated compared next, import-export routings 18 different trade combinations between six countries (Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, DRC Great Lakes/Copper Belt, Zambia Malawi) five (Mombasa, Salaam, Durban, Beira Nacala). estimates parameters multinomial logit model comparing differences via other A demand function derived result. concludes view its distance from arterial container routes, could only lower-tier hub distribution centre Tanzania Kenya, ranging Uganda south. At present, role mostly played Middle East, whereas serve merely transit points.