Time trend of the people lost follow up on antiretroviral therapy (ART) services in Nepal: a epidemiological modelling.

摘要: Background: The real state about the spread of HIV epidemic in Nepal is not clear since details available are on basis repeated integrated biological and behavioral surveillance. Objective To study trends People lost follow up ART future. Material methods: A retrospective was carried out data collected from Health ministry records Nepal, between 2006 2012. Descriptive statistics statistical modelling were used for analysis forecasting data. Results: Including constant term equation, quadratic model best fit, ART. Using it estimated that 4331 reported number will be there by year 2020. Conclusion: having an increasing trend. Estimates total attributable to major routes infection make important contribution public health policy. They can planning healthcare services contributing estimates future numbers with promotion programmes.