The Economic Potential for Smallholder Rubber Production in Northern Laos

摘要: Rubber smallholdings are being established by shifting cultivators in Northern Laos, response to demand from China and encouraged government land-use policy. This can be seen as part of a general transition subsistence commercial agriculture the uplands – particular, cultivation tree crop production. study examines economics smallholder rubber production an rubber-growing village Luangnamtha Province models likely expansion Province. Data were obtained key informant interviews, group direct observation, farm-household survey. Latex yields estimated using Bioeconomic Agroforestry Support System (BRASS). A discounted cash flow (DCF) model was developed estimate net present value for representative smallholding. then combined with spatial data Geographical Information (GIS) predict based on resource quality accessibility. The shows that, given current market conditions credit support, investment Laos profitable. results DCF analysis show that planting is good economic returns. indicates potential not isolated case; there also other areas appear economically suitable rubber. Therefore, considered one alternatives poor upland farmers, line policy stabilising supporting new livelihood options poverty reduction. However, risks associated emerging constraints land labour, hence should move cautiously promoting where farmers uncertain about reducing their dependence cultivation. role government, countries has played significant rural development, ensure provision material, assist financially during long period when no income generated, invest roads marketing infrastructure. In maintaining secure access will crucial sustainability Laos. If carefully managed, contribute sustainable livelihoods.