Controlling COVID-19 Outbreaks with Financial Incentives.

作者: Junseok Kim , Chaeyoung Lee , Soobin Kwak

DOI: 10.3390/IJERPH18020724

关键词:

摘要: In this paper, we consider controlling coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreaks with financial incentives. We use the recently developed susceptible-unidentified infected-confirmed (SUC) epidemic model. The unidentified infected population is defined as people who are not yet identified and isolated can spread to susceptible individuals. It important quickly identify isolate among prevent infectious from spreading. Considering incentives a strategy control of disease, predict effect through mathematical Although incentive costs required, duration be shortened. First, estimate cases COVID-19 in South Korea using SUC model, compute two parameters such transmission rate inverse average time for confirming assume that when provided, there changes proportion confirmed patients out evaluate numbers respect one parameter while fixing other estimated parameters. investigate on termination disease. larger budget is, faster will end. Therefore, have advantage reducing total cost required treat patients, recover overall economic losses.

参考文章(23)
A. Gray, D. Greenhalgh, L. Hu, X. Mao, J. Pan, A Stochastic Differential Equation SIS Epidemic Model Siam Journal on Applied Mathematics. ,vol. 71, pp. 876- 902 ,(2011) , 10.1137/10081856X
Vincenzo Capasso, Gabriella Serio, A generalization of the Kermack-McKendrick deterministic epidemic model Mathematical Biosciences. ,vol. 42, pp. 43- 61 ,(1978) , 10.1016/0025-5564(78)90006-8
Olivier Rat-Aspert, Christine Fourichon, Modelling collective effectiveness of voluntary vaccination with and without incentives. Preventive Veterinary Medicine. ,vol. 93, pp. 265- 275 ,(2010) , 10.1016/J.PREVETMED.2009.11.004
Muhammad Altaf Khan, Yasir Khan, Saeed Islam, Complex dynamics of an SEIR epidemic model with saturated incidence rate and treatment Physica A-statistical Mechanics and Its Applications. ,vol. 493, pp. 210- 227 ,(2018) , 10.1016/J.PHYSA.2017.10.038
Blythe Adamson, Wafaa El-Sadr, Dobromir Dimitrov, Theresa Gamble, Geetha Beauchamp, Josh J. Carlson, Louis Garrison, Deborah Donnell, The Cost-Effectiveness of Financial Incentives for Viral Suppression: HPTN 065 Study. Value in Health. ,vol. 22, pp. 194- 202 ,(2019) , 10.1016/J.JVAL.2018.09.001
Yanli Ma, Jia-Bao Liu, Haixia Li, Global Dynamics of an SIQR Model with Vaccination and Elimination Hybrid Strategies Mathematics. ,vol. 6, pp. 328- ,(2018) , 10.3390/MATH6120328
Raul Nistal, Manuel de la Sen, Santiago Alonso-Quesada, Asier Ibeas, On a New Discrete SEIADR Model with Mixed Controls: Study of Its Properties Mathematics. ,vol. 7, pp. 18- ,(2018) , 10.3390/MATH7010018
Mengyao Wu, Wei Dai, Zhiyuan Lu, Yu Zhao, Meiqing Wang, The Method for Risk Evaluation in Assembly Process based on the Discrete-Time SIRS Epidemic Model and Information Entropy Entropy. ,vol. 21, pp. 1029- ,(2019) , 10.3390/E21111029
Dun Han, Qi Shao, Dandan Li, Mei Sun, How the individuals’ risk aversion affect the epidemic spreading Applied Mathematics and Computation. ,vol. 369, pp. 124894- ,(2020) , 10.1016/J.AMC.2019.124894
Chih-Cheng Lai, Tzu-Ping Shih, Wen-Chien Ko, Hung-Jen Tang, Po-Ren Hsueh, Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19): The epidemic and the challenges. International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents. ,vol. 55, pp. 105924- 105924 ,(2020) , 10.1016/J.IJANTIMICAG.2020.105924