Age, period, and cohort effects in motor vehicle mortality in the United States, 1980–2010: the role of sex, alcohol involvement, and position in vehicle

作者: James Macinko , Diana Silver , Jin Yung Bae

DOI: 10.1016/J.JSR.2014.12.003

关键词:

摘要: INTRODUCTION: Although substantive declines in motor vehicle fatalities 1980-2010 have been observed, by position the and alcohol involvement not well elucidated. METHOD: Analyses of FARS data use Intrinsic Estimator (IE) to produce estimates all age, period, cohort effects simultaneously car involvement. RESULTS: Declines MVC deaths vary for men women age over time. Cohorts born before 1970 had higher risks than those later. using proxy indicators found highest aged 16-24. By these declined more rapidly non- related traffic fatalities. CONCLUSION: Changes risk patterns are consistent with evidence regarding contributions new technologies public policy efforts reduce fatalities, but gains shared evenly sex or car. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: Greater attention is needed reducing among older drivers pedestrians. Gender differences should be addressed prevention aimed at MVCs due Language: en

参考文章(39)
Chris Robertson, Sara Gandini, Peter Boyle, Age-period-cohort models: a comparative study of available methodologies. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. ,vol. 52, pp. 569- 583 ,(1999) , 10.1016/S0895-4356(99)00033-5
Katherine M. Keyes, Guohua Li, Deborah S. Hasin, Birth cohort effects and gender differences in alcohol epidemiology: a review and synthesis. Alcoholism: Clinical and Experimental Research. ,vol. 35, pp. 2101- 2112 ,(2011) , 10.1111/J.1530-0277.2011.01562.X
William C. Kerr, Thomas K. Greenfield, Yu Ye, Jason Bond, Jürgen Rehm, Are the 1976–1985 birth cohorts heavier drinkers? Age‐period‐cohort analyses of the National Alcohol Surveys 1979–2010 Addiction. ,vol. 108, pp. 1038- 1048 ,(2013) , 10.1111/J.1360-0443.2012.04055.X
Roshni Patel, Deborah Nadler, Nicole Chan, Apar Gupta, Sheela Chandrashekar, Jasmeet Singh, Anil K. Nair, Comparative Analysis of State Driving Laws on Crash Rates of Older Drivers in all 50 U.S. States Journal of the American Geriatrics Society. ,vol. 60, pp. 167- 169 ,(2012) , 10.1111/J.1532-5415.2011.03744.X
Sheila G Klauer, Feng Guo, Bruce G Simons-Morton, Marie Claude Ouimet, Suzanne E Lee, Thomas A Dingus, None, Distracted Driving and Risk of Road Crashes among Novice and Experienced Drivers New England Journal of Medicine. ,vol. 370, pp. 54- 59 ,(2014) , 10.1056/NEJMSA1204142
A F Williams, A K Lund, Seat belt use laws and occupant crash protection in the United States. American Journal of Public Health. ,vol. 76, pp. 1438- 1442 ,(1986) , 10.2105/AJPH.76.12.1438
Guohua Li, Susan P. Baker, Jean A. Langlois, Gabor D. Kelen, Are female drivers safer? An application of the decomposition method. Epidemiology. ,vol. 9, pp. 379- 384 ,(1998) , 10.1097/00001648-199807000-00006
Robert B. Voas, Eduardo Romano, Raymond Peck, Validity of Surrogate Measures of Alcohol Involvement When Applied to Nonfatal Crashes Accident Analysis & Prevention. ,vol. 41, pp. 522- 530 ,(2009) , 10.1016/J.AAP.2009.02.004