Nordic Bioeconomy Pathways: Future narratives for assessment of water-related ecosystem services in agricultural and forest management
作者： Jelena Rakovic , Martyn N. Futter , Katarina Kyllmar , Katri Rankinen , Marc I. Stutter
DOI: 10.1007/S13280-020-01389-7
关键词:
摘要: Further development of the bioeconomy, substitution bioresources for fossil resources, will lead to an increased pressure on land and water resources in both agriculture forestry. It is important study whether resultant changes management may turn impairment services. This paper describes Nordic Bioeconomy Pathways (NBPs), a set regional sectoral storylines nested within global Shared Socioeconomic (SSP) framework developed provide BIOWATER research program with scenarios projecting future developments explore possible conflicts between Water Framework Directive (WFD). The NBPs are narrative capturing range plausible trajectories bioeconomy until 2050 that fit use hydrological catchment modelling, ecosystem service studies stakeholder dialogue about agricultural forestry practices.
springer.com
sci-hub.st 参考文章(22)
Anne Törn, Pirkko Siikamäki, Anne Tolvanen, Pekka Kauppila, Jussi Rämet, Local People, Nature Conservation, and Tourism in Northeastern Finland Ecology and Society. ,vol. 13, pp. 8- ,(2008) , 10.5751/ES-02202-130108
Syeda Mariya Absar, Benjamin L. Preston, Extending the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for sub-national impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability studies Global Environmental Change. ,vol. 33, pp. 83- 96 ,(2015) , 10.1016/J.GLOENVCHA.2015.04.004
Kasper Kok, Reinette (Oonsie) Biggs, Monika Zurek, Methods for Developing Multiscale Participatory Scenarios: Insights from Southern Africa and Europe Ecology and Society. ,vol. 12, ,(2007) , 10.5751/ES-01971-120108
Mark D. A. Rounsevell, Marc J. Metzger, Developing qualitative scenario storylines for environmental change assessment Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change. ,vol. 1, pp. 606- 619 ,(2010) , 10.1002/WCC.63
Detlef P. van Vuuren, Elmar Kriegler, Brian C. O’Neill, Kristie L. Ebi, Keywan Riahi, Timothy R. Carter, Jae Edmonds, Stephane Hallegatte, Tom Kram, Ritu Mathur, Harald Winkler, A new scenario framework for climate change research: Scenario matrix architecture Climatic Change. ,vol. 122, pp. 373- 386 ,(2014) , 10.1007/S10584-013-0906-1
Detlef P. van Vuuren, Jae Edmonds, Mikiko Kainuma, Keywan Riahi, Allison Thomson, Kathy Hibbard, George C. Hurtt, Tom Kram, Volker Krey, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Toshihiko Masui, Malte Meinshausen, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Steven J. Smith, Steven K. Rose, The representative concentration pathways: an overview Climatic Change. ,vol. 109, pp. 5- 31 ,(2011) , 10.1007/S10584-011-0148-Z
Brian C. O’Neill, Elmar Kriegler, Kristie L. Ebi, Eric Kemp-Benedict, Keywan Riahi, Dale S. Rothman, Bas J. van Ruijven, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Joern Birkmann, Kasper Kok, Marc Levy, William Solecki, The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century Global Environmental Change-human and Policy Dimensions. ,vol. 42, pp. 169- 180 ,(2017) , 10.1016/J.GLOENVCHA.2015.01.004
D. Tilman, C. Balzer, J. Hill, B. L. Befort, Global food demand and the sustainable intensification of agriculture Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. ,vol. 108, pp. 20260- 20264 ,(2011) , 10.1073/PNAS.1116437108
Monika B. Zurek, Thomas Henrichs, Linking scenarios across geographical scales in international environmental assessments Technological Forecasting and Social Change. ,vol. 74, pp. 1282- 1295 ,(2007) , 10.1016/J.TECHFORE.2006.11.005
Tim G. Benton, Juliet A. Vickery, Jeremy D. Wilson, Farmland biodiversity: is habitat heterogeneity the key? Trends in Ecology and Evolution. ,vol. 18, pp. 182- 188 ,(2003) , 10.1016/S0169-5347(03)00011-9