The impact of an African swine fever outbreak on endemic tuberculosis in wild boar populations: A model analysis.

摘要: A mathematical model is developed and analysed to examine the impacts of African swine fever (ASF) introduction into a wild boar population that supports endemic animal tuberculosis (TB). TB widespread infectious disease caused by Mycobacterium bacteria belonging complex (MTC) can persist in reservoir wildlife hosts. Wild (sus scrofa) are key for MTC, an increasing trend density expected lead increase prevalence with spill-over livestock. MTC infection presently controlled through variety strategies, including culling. virulent, viral which affects spreading across Eurasia Oceania. ASF leads near 100% mortality at individual level, cause dramatic decrease may therefore control. We extend established captures demographic processes consider impact on populations support different levels TB. Our results indicate will reduce If persists local host predicts long-term decline boar. eradicated, or fades-out population, slower recovery comparison after epidemic. This open window opportunity apply management maintain low prevalence.