Predicting financial distress: The role of earnings quality

作者: Ruihao Ke

DOI:

关键词:

摘要: This study investigates the role of earnings quality (EQ) in prediction financial distress. Specifically, I predict and find that EQ is positively associated with informativeness both accounting- price-based distress predictors, negatively risk, itself. These results hold across several measures various models, are driven by components - related to firm fundamentals managerial discretion. Furthermore, incorporating impact improves models' out-of-sample performance, especially when forecast horizon longer than one year. contribute literature documenting impacts distress, most crucial input lending process.

参考文章(41)
Kenneth R. French, Richard Roll, Stock return variances: The arrival of information and the reaction of traders Journal of Financial Economics. ,vol. 17, pp. 5- 26 ,(1986) , 10.1016/0304-405X(86)90004-8
Mark L. DeFond, Earnings quality research: Advances, challenges and future research Journal of Accounting and Economics. ,vol. 50, pp. 402- 409 ,(2010) , 10.1016/J.JACCECO.2010.10.004
Jennifer J. Jones, Earnings Management During Import Relief Investigations Journal of Accounting Research. ,vol. 29, pp. 193- 228 ,(1991) , 10.2307/2491047
Mark E. Zmijewski, Methodological Issues Related to the Estimation of Financial Distress Prediction Models Journal of Accounting Research. ,vol. 22, pp. 59- 82 ,(1984) , 10.2307/2490859
Sreedhar T. Bharath, Tyler Shumway, Forecasting Default with the Merton Distance to Default Model Review of Financial Studies. ,vol. 21, pp. 1339- 1369 ,(2008) , 10.1093/RFS/HHN044
Shiva Rajgopal, Mohan Venkatachalam, Financial reporting quality and idiosyncratic return volatility Journal of Accounting and Economics. ,vol. 51, pp. 1- 20 ,(2011) , 10.1016/J.JACCECO.2010.06.001
Mark L. DeFond, James Jiambalvo, Debt covenant violation and manipulation of accruals Journal of Accounting and Economics. ,vol. 17, pp. 145- 176 ,(1994) , 10.1016/0165-4101(94)90008-6
James A Ohlson, None, Financial Ratios and the Probabilistic Prediction of Bankruptcy Journal of Accounting Research. ,vol. 18, pp. 109- 131 ,(1980) , 10.2307/2490395
Maureen F. McNichols, William H. Beaver, Maria M. Correia, Financial Statement Analysis and the Prediction of Financial Distress ,(2011)