Causal Inference by Independent Component Analysis with Applications to Micro- and Macroeconomic Data

作者: Alessio Moneta , Doris Entner , Patrik Hoyer , Alex Coad

DOI:

关键词:

摘要: Structural vector-autoregressive models are potentially very useful tools for guiding both macro- and microeconomic policy. In this paper, we present a recently developed method exploiting non-Gaussianity in the data estimating such models, with aim of capturing causal structure underlying data, show how can be applied to (processes firm growth performance) as well macroeconomic (effects monetary policy).

参考文章(47)
Lawrence J. Christiano, Martin Eichenbaum, Charles L. Evans, Chapter 2 Monetary policy shocks: What have we learned and to what end? Handbook of Macroeconomics. ,vol. 1, pp. 65- 148 ,(1999) , 10.1016/S1574-0048(99)01005-8
Clark N. Glymour, Peter Spirtes, Richard Scheines, Causation, prediction, and search ,(1993)
Lawrence Christiano, Martin Eichenbaum, Identification and the Liquidity Effect of a Monetary Policy Shock Social Science Research Network. pp. 335- 370 ,(1991) , 10.3386/W3920
Erkki Oja, Aapo Hyvarinen, Juha Karhunen, Independent Component Analysis ,(2001)
Alessio Moneta, Identification of monetary policy shocks: a graphical causal approach Notas Económicas. ,vol. 20, pp. 39- 62 ,(2016) , 10.14195/2183-203X_20_3
Søren Johansen, Katarina Juselius, MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION AND INFERENCE ON COINTEGRATION — WITH APPLICATIONS TO THE DEMAND FOR MONEY Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. ,vol. 52, pp. 169- 210 ,(2009) , 10.1111/J.1468-0084.1990.MP52002003.X
Markku Lanne, Pentti Saikkonen, Noncausal Vector Autoregression SSRN Electronic Journal. ,(2009) , 10.2139/SSRN.1456408
F.M. Scherer, The Link Between Gross Profitability And Pharmaceutical R&D Spending Health Affairs. ,vol. 20, pp. 216- 220 ,(2001) , 10.1377/HLTHAFF.20.5.216