International Interest Rate and Price Level Linkages under Flexible Exchange Rates: A Review of Recent Evidence

作者: Robert Cumby , Maurice Obstfeld

DOI: 10.3386/W0921

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摘要: In an open economy, the scope for activist stabilization policy depends on nature of lincages between domestic and international markets goods assets. Tgo important relationships--purchasing power parity uncovered interest-rate parity--have received extensive empirical atpention in recent years are fundamental building blocks several eipirical ex- change rate models. This paper reviews extends econometric findings these two classical relationships their corollary, equality expected real interest rates. Econometric tests assuming rationality expectations whole unfavorable to relationships: with few exceptions, they strongly rejected. A central theme review work is conditional heteroskedasticity inflation exchange forecast errors bias this statistical problem may impart inter- national relationships. The proposes implements a test which many cases produces strong evidence that indeed important.Institutional subscribers NBER working series, residents developing countries download without additional charge at www.nber.org.

参考文章(2)
Irving Fisher, William J. Barber, The Theory of Interest ,(2013)
John Maynard Keynes, A Tract on Monetary Reform ,(1923)