Climate change projection over the Tibetan Plateau based on a set of RCM simulations

作者: Xue-Jie Gao , Xue-Jie Gao , Yuan-Hai Fu , Dong Guo , Ying-Mo Zhu

DOI: 10.1016/J.ACCRE.2021.01.004

关键词:

摘要: Abstract Tibetan Plateau (TP, with the height > 3000 m) is a region complex topographical features and large diversity of climate both in space time. The use higher resolution regional models (RCMs) to downscale global model simulations high importance. In present study, future change over TP surrounding areas investigated based on ensemble set 21st century projections using RCM RegCM4. driven by five different GCMs at grid spacing 25 km under RCP4.5. focus December‒January‒February (DJF), June‒July‒August (JJA), annual mean temperature precipitation, comparisons against driving also provided. Overall, RegCM4 greatly improves simulation providing finer scale spatial details precipitation distributions region. topographic effects are well reproduced but not GCMs. For projected changes, general warming increase found GCM simulations. However, substantial differences exist distribution magnitude changes. added value for temperature, addition details, characterized more pronounced DJF compared its areas. changes show between basins RegCM4, better agreement across

参考文章(49)
Bjorn Stevens, Marco Giorgetta, Monika Esch, Thorsten Mauritsen, Traute Crueger, Sebastian Rast, Marc Salzmann, Hauke Schmidt, Jürgen Bader, Karoline Block, Renate Brokopf, Irina Fast, Stefan Kinne, Luis Kornblueh, Ulrike Lohmann, Robert Pincus, Thomas Reichler, Erich Roeckner, Atmospheric component of the MPI-M Earth System Model: ECHAM6 Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. ,vol. 5, pp. 146- 172 ,(2013) , 10.1002/JAME.20015
J. H. Jungclaus, N. Fischer, H. Haak, K. Lohmann, J. Marotzke, D. Matei, U. Mikolajewicz, D. Notz, J. S. von Storch, Characteristics of the ocean simulations in the Max Planck Institute Ocean Model (MPIOM) the ocean component of the MPI-Earth system model Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. ,vol. 5, pp. 422- 446 ,(2013) , 10.1002/JAME.20023
K. W. Oleson, G.-Y. Niu, Z.-L. Yang, D. M. Lawrence, P. E. Thornton, P. J. Lawrence, R. Stöckli, R. E. Dickinson, G. B. Bonan, S. Levis, A. Dai, T. Qian, None, Improvements to the Community Land Model and their impact on the hydrological cycle Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences. ,vol. 113, pp. n/a- n/a ,(2008) , 10.1029/2007JG000563
T. Iversen, M. Bentsen, I. Bethke, J. B. Debernard, A. Kirkevåg, Ø. Seland, H. Drange, J. E. Kristjansson, I. Medhaug, M. Sand, I. A. Seierstad, The Norwegian Earth System Model, NorESM1-M – Part 2: Climate response and scenario projections Geoscientific Model Development. ,vol. 6, pp. 389- 415 ,(2013) , 10.5194/GMD-6-389-2013
Jeremy S Pal, Eric E Small, Elfatih AB Eltahir, None, Simulation of regional‐scale water and energy budgets: Representation of subgrid cloud and precipitation processes within RegCM Journal of Geophysical Research. ,vol. 105, pp. 29579- 29594 ,(2000) , 10.1029/2000JD900415
Leon D. Rotstayn, Mark A. Collier, Martin R. Dix, Yan Feng, Hal B. Gordon, Siobhan P. O'Farrell, Ian N. Smith, Jozef Syktus, Improved simulation of Australian climate and ENSO-related rainfall variability in a global climate model with an interactive aerosol treatment International Journal of Climatology. ,vol. 30, pp. n/a- n/a ,(2009) , 10.1002/JOC.1952
Botao Zhou, Qiuzi Han Wen, Ying Xu, Lianchun Song, Xuebin Zhang, Projected Changes in Temperature and Precipitation Extremes in China by the CMIP5 Multimodel Ensembles Journal of Climate. ,vol. 27, pp. 6591- 6611 ,(2014) , 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00761.1
Fengge Su, Xiaolan Duan, Deliang Chen, Zhenchun Hao, Lan Cuo, Evaluation of the Global Climate Models in the CMIP5 over the Tibetan Plateau Journal of Climate. ,vol. 26, pp. 3187- 3208 ,(2013) , 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00321.1
Richard H. Moss, Jae A. Edmonds, Kathy A. Hibbard, Martin R. Manning, Steven K. Rose, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Timothy R. Carter, Seita Emori, Mikiko Kainuma, Tom Kram, Gerald A. Meehl, John F. B. Mitchell, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Keywan Riahi, Steven J. Smith, Ronald J. Stouffer, Allison M. Thomson, John P. Weyant, Thomas J. Wilbanks, The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment Nature. ,vol. 463, pp. 747- 756 ,(2010) , 10.1038/NATURE08823