Evaluation of a Neuro-Fuzzy Scheme Forecasting Exchange Rates

作者: George Tselentis , George Dounias

DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4757-2845-3_7

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摘要: A Neuro-fuzzy windowing scheme is applied to predict exchange rates. By using a hybrid learning procedure an input-output mapping can be constructed based on training data pairs. The applies the ANFIS (Adaptive-Network-based Fuzzy Inference System) algorithm which least-squares method and back-propagation gradient descent for identifying linear nonlinear parameters, respectively, in Sugeno-type fuzzy inference system. retraining performed moving window of input data, thus keeping track latest changes. An evaluation short-term prediction interval real rates USD vs. GRD, DEM, FRF ECU.

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