From species distributions to climate change adaptation: Knowledge gaps in managing invertebrate pests in broad-acre grain crops

摘要: Abstract Extensive research has shown that climate change will impact the distribution and outbreak potential of invertebrate pests in broad-acre crops. However, much less attention been placed on translating these likely changes pest frequency into practical management options for growers. Dryland grain production systems are generally predicted to be vulnerable effects change. An initial step understanding different is describe spatial species communities. Using a bioclimatic modelling approach, we demonstrate how general patterns four major Australian dryland altered by While such models useful predicting direct impacts distributions, they assessing from or indirect changes. In light this, explore tools can used support adaptive farmers limit induced outbreaks. Primarily, increase available information communities interact with, including their natural enemies, required extend potential. Further, incorporation global crop combined with monitoring existing surveillance new critical future decision-making. For generalizations around flow control services need attempted now. The knowledge interventions needed improved decisions short-term, but some cases also facilitate adaption long-term.