Effects of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation on Drought Impacts in the United States
作者： Brent Boehlert , Ellen Fitzgerald , James E. Neumann , Kenneth M. Strzepek , Jeremy Martinich
DOI: 10.1175/WCAS-D-14-00020.1
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摘要: AbstractThe authors present a method for analyzing the economic benefits to United States resulting from changes in drought frequency and severity due global greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation. The begins by constructing reduced-form models of effect on agriculture reservoir recreation contiguous States. These relationships are then applied projections based two climate stabilization scenarios twenty-first-century time periods. Drought indices sector specific include both standardized precipitation index Palmer index. It is found that modeled regional effects each negative, almost always statistically significant, often large magnitude. results confirm has been an important driver historical reductions activity these sectors. Comparing reference scenario GHG mitigation 2050 2100, find th...
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