Risk-informed decision support for assessing the costs and benefits of counter-terrorism protective measures for infrastructure

摘要: Abstract The paper describes risk-informed decision support for assessing the costs and benefits of counter-terrorism (CT) protective measures infrastructure. Such a framework needs to consider threat scenarios probabilities, value human life, physical (direct) damage, indirect risk reduction measure costs. Probabilistic terrorism assessments that quantify are conducted three items infrastructure using representative cost vulnerability data. illustrative examples show under what combination reduction, probability, fatality damage CT would be cost-effective United States building, bridge aviation It was found if losses (such as business interruption, loss GDP, etc.) considered, then even terrorist probability is not high. Opportunity can considerable, which makes less cost-effective.