Paleoearthquakes at Frazier Mountain, California delimit extent and frequency of past San Andreas Fault ruptures along 1857 trace

作者: Katherine Scharer , Ray Weldon , Ashley Streig , Thomas Fumal

DOI: 10.1002/2014GL060318

关键词:

摘要: Large earthquakes are infrequent along a single fault, and therefore historic, well-characterized exert strong influence on fault behavior models. This is true of the 1857 Fort Tejon earthquake (estimated M7.7–7.9) southern San Andreas Fault (SSAF), but an outstanding question whether 330 km long rupture was typical. New paleoseismic data for six to seven ground-rupturing Big Bend SSAF restrict pattern possible ruptures stretch fault. In conjunction with existing sites, we show that over last ~650 years, at least 75% surface shorter than earthquake, estimated lengths 100 <300 km. These results suggest unusual, perhaps leading open interval, return pre-1857 would increase rate M7.3–M7.7 earthquakes.

参考文章(43)
Wayne R. Thatcher, Robert McCaffrey, Timothy E. Dawson, Thomas A. Herring, Peter Bird, Kaj M. Johnson, Ray J. Weldon Ii, Tom Parsons, Zheng-kang Shen, William C. Hammond, Yuehua Zeng, Edward H. Field, Jayne Bormann, Appendix C—Deformation Models for UCERF3 ,(2013)
Kerry E. Sieh, Slip along the San Andreas fault associated with the great 1857 earthquake Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America. ,vol. 68, pp. 1421- 1448 ,(1978)
G. C. JACOBY, P. R. SHEPPARD, K. E. SIEH, Irregular recurrence of large earthquakes along the san andreas fault: evidence from trees. Science. ,vol. 241, pp. 196- 199 ,(1988) , 10.1126/SCIENCE.241.4862.196
C. B. DuRoss, S. F. Personius, A. J. Crone, S. S. Olig, W. R. Lund, Integration of paleoseismic data from multiple sites to develop an objective earthquake chronology: Application to the Weber segment of the Wasatch fault zone, Utah Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America. ,vol. 101, pp. 2765- 2781 ,(2011) , 10.1785/0120110102
J. J. Lienkaemper, C. B. Ramsey, OxCal: Versatile Tool for Developing Paleoearthquake Chronologies—A Primer Seismological Research Letters. ,vol. 80, pp. 431- 434 ,(2009) , 10.1785/GSSRL.80.3.431
Edward R Cook, Connie A Woodhouse, C Mark Eakin, David M Meko, David W Stahle, None, Long-Term Aridity Changes in the Western United States Science. ,vol. 306, pp. 1015- 1018 ,(2004) , 10.1126/SCIENCE.1102586
David D. Oglesby, P. Martin Mai, Kuvvet Atakan, Stefano Pucci, Dynamic models of earthquakes on the North Anatolian fault zone under the Sea of Marmara: Effect of hypocenter location Geophysical Research Letters. ,vol. 35, ,(2008) , 10.1029/2008GL035037
L. G. Ludwig, S. O. Akciz, G. R. Noriega, O. Zielke, J R. Arrowsmith, Climate-Modulated Channel Incision and Rupture History of the San Andreas Fault in the Carrizo Plain Science. ,vol. 327, pp. 1117- 1119 ,(2010) , 10.1126/SCIENCE.1182837