High-resolution temperature and precipitation projections over Ontario, Canada: a coupled dynamical-statistical approach

作者: Xiuquan Wang , Guohe Huang , Qianguo Lin , Xianghui Nie , Jinliang Liu

DOI: 10.1002/QJ.2421

关键词:

摘要: We develop a dynamical–statistical downscaling approach by coupling the PRECIS regional modelling system and statistical method—SCADS—to construct very high resolution climate projections for studying change impacts at local scales. The coupled performs well in hindcasting mean temperature of present-day climate, while performance precipitation is relatively poor due to its spatial variability nonlinear nature but patterns are captured. then apply projecting future over province Ontario, Canada fine 10 km. results show that there would be significant warming trend throughout this century entire less projected most selected weather stations. also demonstrate apparent amount no noticeable changes found patterns.

参考文章(37)
MIKHAIL A. SEMENOV, ELAINE M. BARROW, USE OF A STOCHASTIC WEATHER GENERATOR IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS Climatic Change. ,vol. 35, pp. 397- 414 ,(1997) , 10.1023/A:1005342632279
Jie Chen, François P. Brissette, Robert Leconte, Coupling statistical and dynamical methods for spatial downscaling of precipitation Climatic Change. ,vol. 114, pp. 509- 526 ,(2012) , 10.1007/S10584-012-0452-2
Suranjana Saha, Shrinivas Moorthi, Hua-Lu Pan, Xingren Wu, Jiande Wang, Sudhir Nadiga, Patrick Tripp, Robert Kistler, John Woollen, David Behringer, Haixia Liu, Diane Stokes, Robert Grumbine, George Gayno, Jun Wang, Yu-Tai Hou, Hui-ya Chuang, Hann-Ming H. Juang, Joe Sela, Mark Iredell, Russ Treadon, Daryl Kleist, Paul Van Delst, Dennis Keyser, John Derber, Michael Ek, Jesse Meng, Helin Wei, Rongqian Yang, Stephen Lord, Huug van den Dool, Arun Kumar, Wanqiu Wang, Craig Long, Muthuvel Chelliah, Yan Xue, Boyin Huang, Jae-Kyung Schemm, Wesley Ebisuzaki, Roger Lin, Pingping Xie, Mingyue Chen, Shuntai Zhou, Wayne Higgins, Cheng-Zhi Zou, Quanhua Liu, Yong Chen, Yong Han, Lidia Cucurull, Richard W. Reynolds, Glenn Rutledge, Mitch Goldberg, The NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ,vol. 91, pp. 1015- 1057 ,(2010) , 10.1175/2010BAMS3001.1
Xiuquan Wang, Guohe Huang, Qianguo Lin, Xianghui Nie, Guanhui Cheng, Yurui Fan, Zhong Li, Yao Yao, Meiqin Suo, A stepwise cluster analysis approach for downscaled climate projection - A Canadian case study Environmental Modelling and Software. ,vol. 49, pp. 141- 151 ,(2013) , 10.1016/J.ENVSOFT.2013.08.006
Detlef P. van Vuuren, Jae Edmonds, Mikiko Kainuma, Keywan Riahi, Allison Thomson, Kathy Hibbard, George C. Hurtt, Tom Kram, Volker Krey, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Toshihiko Masui, Malte Meinshausen, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Steven J. Smith, Steven K. Rose, The representative concentration pathways: an overview Climatic Change. ,vol. 109, pp. 5- 31 ,(2011) , 10.1007/S10584-011-0148-Z
Yong Zhang, Yinlong Xu, Wenjie Dong, Lijuan Cao, Michael Sparrow, A future climate scenario of regional changes in extreme climate events over China using the PRECIS climate model Geophysical Research Letters. ,vol. 33, ,(2006) , 10.1029/2006GL027229
Malcolm R. Haylock, Gavin C. Cawley, Colin Harpham, Rob L. Wilby, Clare M. Goodess, Downscaling heavy precipitation over the United Kingdom: a comparison of dynamical and statistical methods and their future scenarios International Journal of Climatology. ,vol. 26, pp. 1397- 1415 ,(2006) , 10.1002/JOC.1318
Chunmei Zhu, Dennis P Lettenmaier, Tereza Cavazos, None, Role of Antecedent Land Surface Conditions on North American Monsoon Rainfall Variability* Journal of Climate. ,vol. 18, pp. 3104- 3121 ,(2005) , 10.1175/JCLI3387.1
Pranab Kumar Sen, Estimates of the Regression Coefficient Based on Kendall's Tau Journal of the American Statistical Association. ,vol. 63, pp. 1379- 1389 ,(1968) , 10.1080/01621459.1968.10480934