Fortelling the future by adaptive modeling

摘要: Foretelling the future is a pastime that all of us enjoy, but not normally viewed as scientific activity. We would like to be able predict which horse will win particular race or stock double next week. If we knew how do that, writing this article. Yet it often quite possible future—in limited way—and put prediction good use. By describing an expected, “normal” course events, focuses attention on unfolding event differs from norm. In many cases more interesting than events themselves.