Reliably predicting pollinator abundance: Challenges of calibrating process-based ecological models

作者: Emma Gardner , Tom D. Breeze , Yann Clough , Henrik G. Smith , Katherine C. R. Baldock

DOI: 10.1111/2041-210X.13483

关键词:

摘要: … In its initial expert-parameterised version, the model showed significant agreement with the survey data, which further improved with calibration for three out of four modelled pollinator …

参考文章(39)
ANDREA HOLZSCHUH, INGOLF STEFFAN-DEWENTER, DAVID KLEIJN, TEJA TSCHARNTKE, Diversity of flower-visiting bees in cereal fields: effects of farming system, landscape composition and regional context Journal of Applied Ecology. ,vol. 44, pp. 41- 49 ,(2006) , 10.1111/J.1365-2664.2006.01259.X
Paul Fearnhead, Dennis Prangle, Constructing summary statistics for approximate Bayesian computation: semi-automatic approximate Bayesian computation Journal of The Royal Statistical Society Series B-statistical Methodology. ,vol. 74, pp. 419- 474 ,(2012) , 10.1111/J.1467-9868.2011.01010.X
Ola Olsson, Arvid Bolin, Henrik G. Smith, Eric V. Lonsdorf, Modeling pollinating bee visitation rates in heterogeneous landscapes from foraging theory Ecological Modelling. ,vol. 316, pp. 133- 143 ,(2015) , 10.1016/J.ECOLMODEL.2015.08.009
Paul Fearnhead, Dennis Prangle, Discussion on the paper by Feranhead and Prangle Journal of The Royal Statistical Society Series B-statistical Methodology. ,vol. 74, ,(2012) , 10.1111/J.1467-9868.2011.01010.X
L. A. Garibaldi, M. A. Aizen, A. M. Klein, S. A. Cunningham, L. D. Harder, Global growth and stability of agricultural yield decrease with pollinator dependence Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. ,vol. 108, pp. 5909- 5914 ,(2011) , 10.1073/PNAS.1012431108
Maj Rundlöf, Georg KS Andersson, Riccardo Bommarco, Ingemar Fries, Veronica Hederström, Lina Herbertsson, Ove Jonsson, Björn K Klatt, Thorsten R Pedersen, Johanna Yourstone, Henrik G Smith, None, Seed coating with a neonicotinoid insecticide negatively affects wild bees Nature. ,vol. 521, pp. 77- 80 ,(2015) , 10.1038/NATURE14420
Patrice O Yapo, Hoshin Vijai Gupta, Soroosh Sorooshian, None, Automatic calibration of conceptual rainfall-runoff models: sensitivity to calibration data Journal of Hydrology. ,vol. 181, pp. 23- 48 ,(1996) , 10.1016/0022-1694(95)02918-4
C.J.E. Schulp, S. Lautenbach, P.H. Verburg, Quantifying and mapping ecosystem services: Demand and supply of pollination in the European Union Ecological Indicators. ,vol. 36, pp. 131- 141 ,(2014) , 10.1016/J.ECOLIND.2013.07.014
M.P.D. Garratt, T.D. Breeze, N. Jenner, C. Polce, J.C. Biesmeijer, S.G. Potts, Avoiding a bad apple: Insect pollination enhances fruit quality and economic value Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment. ,vol. 184, pp. 34- 40 ,(2014) , 10.1016/J.AGEE.2013.10.032
Taylor H. Ricketts, Eric Lonsdorf, Mapping the margin: comparing marginal values of tropical forest remnants for pollination services. Ecological Applications. ,vol. 23, pp. 1113- 1123 ,(2013) , 10.1890/12-1600.1