Estimated Numbers of Men and Women Infected with HIV/AIDS in Tijuana, Mexico

摘要: Tijuana, Mexico, just south of San Diego, California, is located by the busiest land border crossing in world. Although UNAIDS considers Mexico to be a country “low prevalence, high risk,” recent surveillance data among sentinel populations Tijuana suggests HIV prevalence increasing. The aim this study was estimate number men and women aged 15 49 years infected with Tijuana. Gender age-specific estimates population were obtained from 2000 Mexican census. Population for at-risk groups published reports, community based studies, Centro Nacional para la Prevencion y Control del VIH/SIDA (CENSIDA). Age-specific fertility rates used derive low high-risk pregnant women. Numbers HIV-positive estimated each group then aggregated. A growth scenario on current conservative, determined. total 686,600 at time Considering both scenarios, persons ranged 1,803 5,472 (HIV prevalence: 0.26 0.80%). majority these (>70%). largest MSM (N = 1,146 3,300) IDUs 147 650). Our suggest that up one every 125 15–49 years HIV-infected. Interventions reduce ongoing spread are urgently needed.