Projections Using a Static Spatial Microsimulation Model

作者: Yogi Vidyattama , Robert Tanton , None

DOI: 10.1007/978-94-007-4623-7_9

关键词:

摘要: As spatial microsimulation techniques derive estimates of socio-economic variables for local areas, there may also be a need to project these into the future. The issue is that deriving projections small areas can difficult due high rates migration between areas. This chapter describes several projection methods applied model area future without introducing more complex dynamic technique. These include inflating microdata weights, projecting benchmark tables using regression and by other means. Some consideration given cost complexity each method. Finally, this looks at strength weaknesses methodology.

参考文章(10)
Sharyn Lymer, Laurie Brown, Ann Harding, Mandy Yap, Predicting The Need For Aged Care Services At The Small Area Level: The CAREMOD Spatial Microsimulation Model The International Journal of Microsimulation. ,vol. 2, pp. 27- 42 ,(2008) , 10.34196/IJM.00015
S. Lymer, L. Brown, M. Yap, A. Harding, 2001 Regional Disability Estimates for New South Wales, Australia, Using Spatial Microsimulation Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy. ,vol. 1, pp. 99- 116 ,(2008) , 10.1007/S12061-008-9006-4
Ann Harding, Yogi Vidyattama, Robert Tanton, None, Demographic change and the needs-based planning of government services: projecting small area populations using spatial microsimulation Journal of Population Research. ,vol. 28, pp. 203- 224 ,(2011) , 10.1007/S12546-011-9061-6
Susan Day, Tony Melhuish, Marcus Blake, An evaluation of synthetic household populations for census collection districts created using optimisation techniques The Australasian Journal of Regional Studies. ,vol. 8, pp. 369- ,(2002)
Dimitris Ballas, Graham Clarke, Danny Dorling, Heather Eyre, Bethan Thomas, David Rossiter, SimBritain: a spatial microsimulation approach to population dynamics Population Space and Place. ,vol. 11, pp. 13- 34 ,(2005) , 10.1002/PSP.351
Dimitris Ballas, Graham Philip Clarke, Emily Wiemers, Building a Dynamic Spatial Microsimulation Model for Ireland Population Space and Place. ,vol. 11, pp. 157- 172 ,(2005) , 10.1002/PSP.359
Ann Harding, Rachel Lloyd, Justine Mc Namara, SPATIAL MICROSIMULATION USING SYNTHETIC SMALL-AREA ESTIMATES OF INCOME, TAX AND SOCIAL SECURITY BENEFITS The Australasian Journal of Regional Studies. ,vol. 11, pp. 303- ,(2005)
Yogi Vidyattama, Robert Tanton, None, Projecting Small Area Statistics with Australian Microsimulation Model (SPATIALMSM) The Australasian Journal of Regional Studies. ,vol. 16, pp. 99- 126 ,(2010)
Ann Harding, Anil Gupta, Chapter 1 Introduction and Overview Modelling our Future - Population Ageing, Social Security and Taxation. pp. 1- 29 ,(2007) , 10.1016/S1571-0386(06)15001-2