Land use policy and spatiotemporal changes in the water area of an arid region

摘要: In this study, we developed a framework to analyze the impact of land use policies on water area changes. We used quantitative and qualitative approaches in our model, including Delphi method, Moran’s I, 3D kernel density surface (3D-KDS) technique, orthogonalized regression. The model facilitates visual examination spatiotemporal patterns changes identification net effect consider three types policy four control variables which include management climate change factors test by using data from Ejina, an oasis Inner Mongolia, China. results both 3D-KDS I coefficient showed distinctive negative positive Standardized coefficients augmented ordinary least squares (OLS) models helped isolate effects Land had greater hydrological environment than factors. Our can be utilized assess effectiveness aid helpful monitoring implementation existing design new policies.