Review of modeling approaches for emergency department patient flow and crowding research.

作者: Jennifer L. Wiler , Richard T. Griffey , Tava Olsen

DOI: 10.1111/J.1553-2712.2011.01135.X

关键词:

摘要: ACADEMIC EMERGENCY MEDICINE 2011; 18:1371–1379 © 2011 by the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine Abstract Emergency department (ED) crowding is an international phenomenon that continues to challenge operational efficiency. Many statistical modeling approaches have been offered describe, and at times predict, ED patient load crowding. A number of formula-based equations, regression models, time-series analyses, queuing theory–based discrete-event (or process) simulation (DES) models proposed. In this review, we compare contrast these methodologies, describe fundamental assumptions each makes, outline potential applications limitations with regard usability in operations research.

参考文章(67)
R West, Objective standards for the emergency services: emergency admission to hospital. Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine. ,vol. 94, pp. 4- 8 ,(2001)
Drew B Richardson, Increase in patient mortality at 10 days associated with emergency department overcrowding. The Medical Journal of Australia. ,vol. 184, pp. 213- 216 ,(2006) , 10.5694/J.1326-5377.2006.TB00204.X
Alec Morton, Gwyn Bevan, What's in a wait? Health Policy. ,vol. 85, pp. 207- 217 ,(2008) , 10.1016/J.HEALTHPOL.2007.07.014
J.-C. Panayiotopoulos, G. Vassilacopoulos, Simulating hospital emergency departments queuing systems: (GI/G/m(t)) : (IHFF/N/∞) European Journal of Operational Research. ,vol. 18, pp. 250- 258 ,(1984) , 10.1016/0377-2217(84)90191-7
Nathan R. Hoot, Dominik Aronsky, An early warning system for overcrowding in the emergency department. american medical informatics association annual symposium. ,vol. 2006, pp. 339- 343 ,(2006)
Dan Tandberg, Clifford Qualls, Time Series Forecasts of Emergency Department Patient Volume, Length of Stay, and Acuity Annals of Emergency Medicine. ,vol. 23, pp. 299- 306 ,(1994) , 10.1016/S0196-0644(94)70044-3
Holly Batal, Jeff Tench, Sean McMillan, Jill Adams, Phillip S. Mehler, Predicting Patient Visits to an Urgent Care Clinic Using Calendar Variables Academic Emergency Medicine. ,vol. 8, pp. 48- 53 ,(2001) , 10.1111/J.1553-2712.2001.TB00550.X
Brent R. Asplin, Thomas J. Flottemesch, Bradley D. Gordon, Developing models for patient flow and daily surge capacity research. Academic Emergency Medicine. ,vol. 13, pp. 1109- 1113 ,(2006) , 10.1197/J.AEM.2006.07.004
Linda V. Green, João Soares, James F. Giglio, Robert A. Green, Using Queueing Theory to Increase the Effectiveness of Emergency Department Provider Staffing Academic Emergency Medicine. ,vol. 13, pp. 61- 68 ,(2006) , 10.1197/J.AEM.2005.07.034
Lisa M. Schweigler, Jeffrey S. Desmond, Melissa L. McCarthy, Kyle J. Bukowski, Edward L. Ionides, John G. Younger, Forecasting Models of Emergency Department Crowding Academic Emergency Medicine. ,vol. 16, pp. 301- 308 ,(2009) , 10.1111/J.1553-2712.2009.00356.X