Probability, Philosophy and Science: A briefing for Bayesians

摘要: The objective Bayesian view is considered in relation to philosophy and of science. Carnap’s distinction between logical factual probabilities rejected, as an anti-Bayesian argument due Popper. Reasons for the confusion are advanced. Inductive science defended, a tentative methodology proposed. Four prominent anti-inductivists analysed: Popper, Lakatos, Kuhn Feyerabend. Popper shown have been misled by problem improper priors, hypothesis space; his deductive doctrine falsifiability replaced inductive one testability. Kuhn’s that successive theories do not approach any kind limit criticised, traced rejection induction. It concluded methodologies untenable, sound.