Biological traits predict shifts in geographical ranges of freshwater invertebrates during climatic warming and drying

摘要: Aim  To test the ability of biological traits to predict climate-related changes in geographical ranges running-water invertebrates. Location  The Australian state New South Wales and Capital Territory. Methods  I analysed data from 8928 biomonitoring samples collected during a 16-year period generally rising air temperatures declining precipitation. used quantile regression for expansions contractions on climatically cooler, warmer, drier wetter edges 120 invertebrate taxa, correlated these shifts with thermophily (degree preference high versus low temperature) rheophily (preference flowing still water). Results  most commonly inferred range were cool-edge expansion plus warm-edge contraction (71 taxa) wet-edge dry-edge (71), but both cool warm extremes (36) dry wet (28) also frequent. High-temperature was associated low-temperature all other extremes. A flow contraction. Main conclusions  Trait analysis has potential predicting which species will expand their contract, needs be coupled assessment how landscape provides each opportunities track or avoid climate change. Improved quantification relevant integration trait distribution modelling are likely beneficial.