Characterization of Peaks and Valleys of Electricity Demand. Application to the Spanish Mainland System in the Period 2000-2020
作者： Fermín Moreno
关键词:
摘要: Energy planning must anticipate the development and strengthening of power grids, plants construction times, provision energy resources with aim increasing security supply its quality. This work presents a methodology for predicting peaks in mainland Spain’s system decade 2011-2020. Forecasts total electricity demand Spanish authorities set boundary conditions. The accuracy results has successfully been compared records (2000-2010) various predictions published. Three patterns have observed: 1) efficiency winter peak; 2) trend summer 3) annual valley demand. By 2020, 58.1 GW 53.0 are expected, respectively, as business-as-usual scenario. If observed tendencies continue, former values can go down to 55.5 up 54.7 summer. minimum will raise 5.5 GW, 23.4 GW. These detailed be very useful identify types needed an optimum structure industry.
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