Forecasting and Management of Technology

摘要: OVERVIEW AND PRINCIPLES. Management, Technology, and the Future. Principles of Sociotechnical Change. Technology Planning. Forecasting. Managing Forecasting Project. METHODS. General Methodological Issues. The Stimulation Creativity. Monitoring. Basic Tools for Quantitative Trend Extrapolation. Extrapolating Technological Trends. Expert Opinion. Simulation. Scenarios. Economic Analysis. ASSESSMENT TO MANAGE TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE. Impact Assessment: Issues Identification Impacts Technology. Analysis Technologies. Benefit/Cost Risk Evaluation Technologies Their Impacts. Present from Appendices. Bibliography. Index.